THE TODOS STAT NUMBER IS THE "BEST
HORSE" NUMBER !!! ... more
RACE OF THE MOMENT
(DISCLAIMER: These videos are ‘borrowed’
strictly for
the promotion of the sport and
the entertainment of visitors to the site. )
WHAT A GREAT RACE Waldgeist beats Enable 2019 L'ARC DE TRIOMPHE!
FIND
YOUR HORSE (Thoroughbreds):
Last Update: Dec. 11, 2020
Alphabetical List of Horses on file - Last Race
Todos
DON’T
USE SPEED FIGS
NOTE: ON DUBAI WORLD CUP
DAY - using these simple numbers - no speed figs or any
other
fabricated scheme - we just hit the double $188 in the 6th onto the 7th
races
Speed figs are concocted numbers designed to evaluate horses. The
thing is, they are fudged
with
various extraneous subjectively picked variables which over time skewer the
results or
evaluations
and produce inconsistencies in the entire evaluation of horses. They are ok on
an
individual
horse to show a trend .. improving or dropping form because that is the only
valid
standard.
Racing
is relative to TODAY’s field. There is a way of using the existing numbers, say
from DRF ,
doing
the calculations quickly and accurately and getting a valid RELATIVE ranking.
I
have given this method to some TV people (very few) who use it successfully. I
will sell it for
a small amount to anyone interested – you may converse by email , kertjk@teksavvy.com
before
you make a decision. I’m retired, I don’t care if you buy it or not , I’m just
not going to
give anything away when all those turkeys are out there gathering
coin.
EASY TO USE
STEP 1: For each horse, select the Todos number that is relevant to today's
conditions. MOST OFTEN it is simply the last one BUT NOT ALWAYS.
STEP 2: Rank the horses in each race according to the Todos number, and make
a GENERAL assumption that the top 4 are live.
reasons why they should NOT be considered contenders; if you find some,
move them out, move others up.
STEP 4: When the wagering starts, if there is heavy betting on a horse not in the
top 4, or if there is a favourite you already know of not in the top 4 ..
consider hedge bets with these other horses on top in Exactors over your
top 4. Sometimes, the Todos has pointed these out as false favourites
correctly . sometimes, these are improving horses that are only about to
achieve a competitive rating against the group they are running against.
These are judgement calls, if the odds are worth it, cover yourself, if not,
leave the race alone if you feel uncomfortable.
On Improving Horses: the Todos graph, if it is moving steadily upward for
a horse not rated in the top 4, project the line in your head to today's date;
if that new Todos number would be competitive with the top 4 . use that
horse. Improving horses at big prices are dangerous !!!!
Pletcher was bringing back a horse off a 6-7 month lay-off. An early race of
the horse was very good but not enough to put him in the top 4 . however,
the horse was much younger then and would not have equally been able to
earn a number like the horses all active recently. I just asked myself, if the
horse runs as well as he did 6 months ago, would he beat the top 4 . at 7-1,
I concluded he would and bet exactors over my top 4 . indeed he won and
paid out at a handsome price. Todos gave me the point of comparison and
the contenders to compare with !!!!