THE TODOS STAT NUMBER IS THE "BEST HORSE" NUMBER !!! ... more
TODOS CONTINUES MASTERY OF 3 YO CLASSICS AND PICKS AFLEET EXPRESS & FLY DOWN IN ORDER !!!
DEBUSSY,ONE OF THE HIGH RATED TODOS HORSES (EURO) WINS ARLINGTON MILLION AT 11-1 !!!
IF YOU DIDN'T HAVE THE 4th RACE $1,000 EXACTA AT MEADOWLANDS FRIDAY NIGHT, YOU DIDN'T HAVE TODOS !!!!
EDITORIAL
LEST WE FORGET
NORTHERN DANCER !!!
And why bring it up ? Because despite all the latest hot
methods Beyer, Formulator etc. etc. PEDIGREE is the root and source of
everything!! And the way DRF promotes Tomlinson stats , is totally
misleading!
Pedigree Traits are commonly found in at least these
relevant racing factors:
Track surface preference, Track condition preference, Race
distance preference, Racing attitudes, Athleticism and HEART !!!!
and more
.
Northern Dancer was an unsold yearling with a reserve of
$25,000 too small they said !! WOW all you people with videos and tape
measures, how did you miss him ?? The Horse of the Century !!! And progeny of
extended families still dominate !!! Only 2 years ago, 2008, the top 3 finishers
in the Ky Derby were all extended progeny of N. Dancer !
And Coolmore in Ireland, many of their great horses which
dominate European Classics annually are founded in Northern Dancer.
Look at the Sword Dancer form at Saratoga, Sat. Aug. 14,
eg. Marland only good races are on turf 280 Tomlinson; Al Khali best races
are on turf 265 Tomlinson (both horses founded in the Dancer line) . Why does
this rating occur ? I assume Tomlinson computes only what did happen and
leaves out the woulda coulda shoulda eg. A horse with a good turf pedigree
on the Ky Derby trail will never see grass before he gets hurt or retires and
he might have been the greatest grasser of all !! So his numbers will never
contribute to a grass stat.
I could go on and on, the message is that there is no short
cuts and no substitute for an accumulative knowledge of watching races. Have you
ever heard of Tridessus ! An obscure son of Northern Dancer, One day a son of
his was making his turf debut in a maiden race after several double digit losses
on dirt. I keyed him in the late double and cashed $2,800 for a deuce at GP
about 20 years ago !
Just dont get fooled by all the phony stats !!
jk
TODOS Thrashes DRF Formulator Analysts
Saturday, TODOS tallied the picks of DRF's S.Crist and A.Serling vs. Todos.
Keep in mind, it takes 30 seconds to handicap a card with Todos: (Horses selected,finishing top 3)
T S C
Race 1 6 6 6
7 7
8
Race 2 6 2 2
7 6
7
Race 3 1 1 1
2 2 2
7 7 7
Race 4 9 7
Race 5 9 9 3
9
Race 6 6 7 8
7 8
Race 7 11 3 10
Race 8 3 3 3
5 4 4
5
Race 9 Test G1
3
4
7
Race 10 3 2 2
6 3 3
6 6
Race 11 2 9
10 10
TOTALS 22 16 19
HOOOO!!! TODOS MEADOWLANDS PACE NIGHT - just about every winner on the card(11 out of 14) including 18-1 and 55-1 shots - and 1st two in order in the BIG race - on the way to a $9,980 Pick 4 - WHO ELSE DID THAT ????
RELEASES Winner,Exacta,Tri,Super ($26,000) in North America Cup including
90-1 3rd place finisher !!
RELEASES ALL STAKES WINNERS ON WOODBINE OAKS DAY!
Somme $26,
Big Red Mike $19,Roan Inish $25
TOP TODOS HORSE WAS DROSSELMEYER
AND SECOND WAS FLY DOWN - $28 WIN - $144
EXACTA
FREE - BELMONT CARD
JUNE 5
5 WINNERS OUT OF 9 at SHATIN LAST NIGHT INCLUDING 2 DOUBLES OVER $1,000 EACH
HA HA HAPPY VALLEY
TODOS GIVES YOU LAST 6 WINNERS ON THE CARD - $83,$202,$67,$73,$39,$167 - finishing with a $4,000 Q and a $25,000 Tierce - Where were YOU ???????
TODOS hits last race tierce, Shatin Sun May 23, $32,000
PREAKNESS
If you used "Lucky's" last fast dirt TODOS he was Top rated - if you used his Derby rating he was low.
In any case First Dude was 1st or 2nd rated - DID YOU HAVE THAT $188 Exacta ????
DERBY WEEKEND
Gee, if you had played Formulator's 0 for 24 stat on Pletcher, you couldn't have cashed in the Derby
TODOS Releases Derby Exacta .. 4-2 $152
TODOS Releases top 3 finishers for $350 KY OAKS Triactor
BONUS: TODOS hits $3,000 Pick 3 at Woodbine on Derby day
AMAZING TODOS STRIKES AGAIN !!! Top 2 rated run 1-2 in Bluegrass for $82 Win, $286 - $1 Ex; 2nd rated wins Arkansas Derby, pays $36 Win
TODOS RELEASES TOP 3 FINISHERS - 7,2,5 HAPPY VALLEY , APRIL 7 - RACE 5 FOR TOP HONG KONG PAYOFF OF THE
YEAR - ALL BETS - $117,163
SEE THE RACE - CLICK ME
TODOS 2nd RATED HORSE WINS DUBAI WORLD CUP AT 25-1
EASY TO USE
STEP 1: For each horse, select the Todos number that is relevant to today's
conditions. MOST OFTEN it is simply the last one BUT NOT ALWAYS.
STEP 2: Rank the horses in each race according to the Todos number, and make
a GENERAL assumption that the top 4 are live.
STEP 3: Go through each of these top 4 with the Form and look for intangible
reasons why they should NOT be considered contenders; if you find some,
move them out, move others up.
STEP 4: When the wagering starts, if there is heavy betting on a horse not in the
top 4, or if there is a favourite you already know of not in the top 4 ..
consider hedge bets with these other horses on top in Exactors over your
top 4. Sometimes, the Todos has pointed these out as false favourites
correctly . sometimes, these are improving horses that are only about to
achieve a competitive rating against the group they are running against.
These are judgement calls, if the odds are worth it, cover yourself, if not,
leave the race alone if you feel
uncomfortable.
On Improving Horses: the Todos graph, if it is moving steadily upward for
a horse not rated in the top 4, project the line in your head to today's date;
if that new Todos number would be competitive with the top 4 . use that
horse. Improving horses at big prices are dangerous !!!!
STEP 5: Reverse use of Todos; last week at Saratoga, in a maiden grass race, trainer
Pletcher was bringing back a horse off a 6-7 month lay-off. An early race of
the horse was very good but not enough to put him in the top 4 . however,
the horse was much younger then and would not have equally been able to
earn a number like the horses all active recently. I just asked myself, if the
horse runs as well as he did 6 months ago, would he beat the top 4 . at 7-1,
I concluded he would and bet exactors over my top 4 . indeed he won and
paid out at a handsome price. Todos gave me the point of comparison and
the contenders to compare with !!!!
NOTE: For Hong Kong Handicap races - check "today's" Weight against the Weight
of past races before deciding which Todos number to use in handicapping
today's race.
CLICK FOR BC2009 RESULTS
DRF Gave You 2 Pages of PRO picks, Count'em - 29 Pros ; ONLY Steve Klein gave you Vale of York in the 5th, NO ONE gave you Dancing in Silks in the 4th ; TODOS GAVE YOU BOTH, INCLUDING $14,000 in associated Exotics in the 2 races !!
ONLY TODOS RATES EUROS
COMPARABLY TO N.A.'s
TODOS HARNESS DEBUT
NOV 14 $2,000 click for summary
BIG DAY FOR TODOS NOV 11
